- 作者: 徐火焱
- 作者服務機構: 中央研究院中山人文社會科學研究所
- 中文摘要: 本文一方面以選民對政黨競爭、忠誠反對黨、政黨輪替執政、民主政治在台灣的實行及繼續民主改革等價值信念,來分析選民對政黨政治與政治民主化的一種「政黨政治的價值取向」;另方面則以選民對政黨主觀上的喜歡、政治立場上的支持與政黨表現的滿意等心理傾向,來探討選民對國民黨與民進黨的「政黨認同」感情。除了分析選民的政黨政治價值取向與政黨認同的性質之外,本文同時也探討選民的政黨政治價值取向是否影響他的政黨認同,以及這兩種心理傾向是否也影響到選民的黨派投票抉擇及政黨取向的投票行為。 分析的結果發現,在解嚴後競爭性政黨政治出現的民主化轉型過程中,選民已經普遍具有政黨政治的價值信念與盤結交錯的政黨認同感情。選民對國民黨與民進黨的政黨認同感情,整體而言已逐漸具有兩極對立的趨向。此外,分析的結果也發現,選民的政黨政治價值取向對政黨認同具有顯著的影響作用,而這兩種心理傾向同時也是決定選民黨派投票的顯著因素。在第二屆國民大會代表選舉中,政黨取向投票的選民為數將近四分之一。影響選民政黨取向投票的顯著因素,主要是選民的政黨取向投票態度、政黨認同、政治興趣、是否加入國民黨、以及家庭經濟狀況等因素。
- 英文摘要: For this paper I looked at Taiwan voters' value-orientations in terms of party competition,the role of a loyal opposition, alternating parties in power, democratization, and prospects fora viable democracy in Taiwan. I also analyzed party identification by examining voters' partisanpreferences, support, and subjective satisfaction with Taiwan's two major political parties.These two attitudinal variables are linked to explain voters’partisan behavior during the secondNational Assembly elections. Results show that, on average, voters paid close attention toTaiwan's emerging democratization and party politics, and that voters with stronger value-orientations toward party politics were more likely to be DPP supporters, as measured by theirpartisan preferences, support, and satisfaction. Moreover, voters' value-orientations concerningparty politics and party identification were found to be two of the most significant predictorsfor votes cast. Finally, voters with stronger party identification were more likely, either activelyor passively, to follow party recommendations when voting. Taiwanese voters were foundmore partisan in this election than ever before.
- 中文關鍵字: 政黨政治; 價值取向; 政黨認同; 黨派投票抉擇; 政黨取向的投票; 密西根的投票抉擇模型; 洛基迴歸分析模型
- 英文關鍵字: --