• 作者： 王景南
• 作者服務機構： 醒吾商專會計科
• 中文摘要： A crucial factor leading to the winning or losing of a basketball game is the record of scoring or failing to score, which also indicates a team's capability in performing offense/defense techniques. In ordinary games, the benefits of 2-point shot, 3-point shot and free throw are obviously great; however, the influences that rebound offense/defense, steal, turn-over and fouls bring to a game are still in lack of statistical measures. By means of fuzzy analysis and with reference to pro coaches on every level, this research paper intends to analyze offense/defense record and their proper fuzzy weight in scoring or failing to score. Moreover, fuzzy regression analysis and language variables are applied to examine records' data as a way to figure out key factors which influence the winning or losing of a game. It is hoped that this research paper would be a valuable reference to basketball coaches and players in the training and practicing of offense/defense techniques.
• 英文摘要： 籃球比賽之勝負取決於得失分之多寡，且由得失分之情況亦能看出其攻防技術。在一般的比賽記錄中，二分球、三分球及罰球對得分之貢獻是明確的，但有關進攻籃板、防守籃板、抄截、失誤、犯規等對得失分之影響則無法給出一明確之計數。故本文想用模糊統計分析，並參考各級教練之意見，先分析出攻防記錄在比賽得失分上適當之模糊權重，再應用記錄員資料與模糊迴歸分析找出影響比賽勝負之重要因素且用語言變數表示出來。希望此研究能提供國內籃球教練從事訓練工作與攻防技術之參考。
• 中文關鍵字： fuzzy weight; fuzzy regression analysis; offense/defense techniques; score or fail to score
• 英文關鍵字： 模糊權重；模糊迴歸分析；籃球比賽攻防技術；得失分