- 作者: 周濟
- 作者服務機構: 中華經濟研究院經濟展望中心
- 中文摘要: 本研究利用多國經濟橫斷面資料,進行迴歸實證研究,以驗證貿易對經濟成長的貢獻。Levine和Renelt在其敏感度分析的實證研究中發現,貿易與每人GDP成長的關係並不robust,反而是貿易與投資有robust的關係,因此他們認為貿易與成長的關係須透過投資來聯繫。本研究對此發現作進一步延伸,先對經濟成長函數中的決定因素作外生性檢定,然後建立一個聯立方程體系來探討貿易活動對經濟成長的貢獻。
- 英文摘要: The paper investigates the contribution of trade to economic growth by regression analysis of cross-country data. Levine and Renelt found that the relationship between trade and per capita GDP growth is notrobust, but trade and investment share to GDP yields a robust relationship in their sensitivity test, and suggestthere is a two-link chain between trade and growth through investment. Following this line, we examine theexogeneity of the determinants of per capita growth, and build a simultaneous equation system to find themechanism by which trade activity affects economic growth.
- 中文關鍵字: 貿易; 經濟成長; 投資
- 英文關鍵字: trade; economic growth; investment