• 作者： 段良雄; 呂錦隆
• 作者服務機構： 國立成功大學交通管理科學研究所
• 中文摘要： 本文利用在台南地區所收集的數據探討旅運者的路線選擇與轉移傾向。由實際路線選擇數據建立的路線選擇羅機模式與卜氏迴歸模式的結果顯示兩類模式的解釋能力均佳，而影響路線選擇較重要的解釋變數是旅行時間與路線長度。研究結果亦發現計程車駕駛人與自用小客車駕駛人的路線選擇行為有顯著差異，但不同旅次目的別的自用小客車駕駛人的路線選擇行為則大致相同。由敘述偏好法所得的路線轉移傾向五點量表所建立的路線轉移傾向羅機模式與依序常機模式的結果亦大致相同。兩模式均顯示在各種路況資訊來源中，計程車駕駛人最重視無線電中心台，其次是交通電台與別人口頭通知，自行觀察判斷則排名最後。自用小客車駕駛人則最重視自己的觀察判斷，其次是交通電台，最後是別人口頭通知。
• 英文摘要： This paper explored the car drivers' route choice and diversion propensity behavior with data collectedin the Tainan area. The route choice logit models and Poisson models were established by actual routechoice data. The results showed that both type of models had good explanatory abilities and the most im-portant variables were travel time and route length. The results also showed that the route choice behaviorof taxi drivers and private car drivers were significantly different and the trip purpose had no significanteffect on the route choice behavior of private car drivers. The route diversion propensity logit models andordered probit models were established by five scale stated preference data. The results of these two typesof models were similar. Among different sources of traffic information, the order of importance for taxidrivers was dispatching center, radio, other drivers, and self-judgment while that of private car drivers wasself-judgment, radio, and other drivers.
• 中文關鍵字： 卜氏回歸; 依序常機; 敘述偏好; 路線選擇; 轉移傾向; 羅機模式
• 英文關鍵字： --